Europe Running Out of Jet Fuel: 3 Scenarios for Vietnam's Oil Prices
Macro Insights

Europe Running Out of Jet Fuel: 3 Scenarios for Vietnam's Oil Prices

The IEA warns Europe has just 6 weeks of jet fuel left. Vietnam's diesel has surged 65%, kerosene 91%. Three scenarios over the next 6 weeks will determine domestic fuel prices.

Thanh Hà·
Pension Funds Can Now Buy Stocks: The Signal Matters More Than the Size
Macro Insights

Pension Funds Can Now Buy Stocks: The Signal Matters More Than the Size

Decree 85/2026 allows Vietnam's supplementary pension funds to invest in listed stocks from May 10. The VND 2,200 billion pool is small, but the policy signal and growth trajectory are what investors should watch.

Phương Nam·
TSMC Earns $18B Record, Snap Cuts 16%: AI Splits Tech
Macro Insights

TSMC Earns $18B Record, Snap Cuts 16%: AI Splits Tech

Same catalyst, opposite outcomes. TSMC posts record profits while Snapchat cuts 1,000 staff. What this AI-driven divergence means for Vietnamese investors.

Thanh Hà·
VN-Index +7.5% Yet Far Behind Nikkei, KOSPI: 3 Layers of Explanation
Macro Insights

VN-Index +7.5% Yet Far Behind Nikkei, KOSPI: 3 Layers of Explanation

Riding the same regional risk-on wave, VN-Index gained 7.5% in the past month but trailed Nikkei by 9 percentage points. Three structural layers explain the gap.

Thanh Hà·
China's 5% GDP, Three Metals React Three Different Ways
Macro Insights

China's 5% GDP, Three Metals React Three Different Ways

Same Q1 GDP catalyst beat expectations, yet copper and nickel surged nearly 6% while HRC steel barely moved. Supply-demand structure of each metal tells the full story.

Thanh Hà·
DXY Down 7 Straight Sessions: When Confidence in the Fed Wavers
Macro Insights

DXY Down 7 Straight Sessions: When Confidence in the Fed Wavers

The US Dollar Index fell for seven consecutive sessions, dropping to the 98-point zone. Behind this isn't just a technical correction — it's a crisis of Fed independence with direct consequences for Vietnam.

Thanh Hà·
US Refunds $166B in Tariffs: Textiles Lead Vietnam's Beneficiaries
Macro Insights

US Refunds $166B in Tariffs: Textiles Lead Vietnam's Beneficiaries

The CAPE system launches April 20, opening the door to $166B in IEEPA tariff refunds. Vietnam receives the largest tariff cut — from 46% to 10% — but the window lasts only 150 days.

Thanh Hà·
US PPI at 4%, but core inflation rose just 0.1%
Macro Insights

US PPI at 4%, but core inflation rose just 0.1%

The March 2026 PPI report paints two completely different inflation pictures. Headline jumped 4% on energy, but the core barely moved. Which number did Wall Street choose to follow?

Thanh Hà·
Nasdaq's 10-Day Win Streak: Three Drivers, Two Risks
Macro Insights

Nasdaq's 10-Day Win Streak: Three Drivers, Two Risks

Nasdaq posted its longest winning streak since 2023, driven by strong Q1 earnings, falling oil prices, and AI capital flows. But surging PPI and a patient Fed pose reversal risks.

Thanh Hà·
China's Surplus Halved: How Vietnam Benefits
Macro Insights

China's Surplus Halved: How Vietnam Benefits

China's March exports grew just 2.5% while imports surged 27.8%. This divergence is creating opportunities for Vietnamese exporters targeting the world's second-largest economy.

Thanh Hà·
LVMH Revenue Down 6% in Q1: A Global Consumer Barometer
Macro Insights

LVMH Revenue Down 6% in Q1: A Global Consumer Barometer

The world's largest luxury group reported a 6% Q1/2026 revenue decline with shares down 28% YTD. What does the global consumer picture signal for Vietnam's retail sector?

Thanh Hà·
Hormuz Blockaded from Both Sides: 5 Things to Know Before Monday's Session
Macro Insights

Hormuz Blockaded from Both Sides: 5 Things to Know Before Monday's Session

US-Iran talks collapsed, the US declared a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz from Sunday evening. Brent heading above $100, Monday April 14 will be a major test for Vietnam's VN-Index.

Thanh Hà·
SJC Gold Premium of 21 Million VND: 13 Years in the Making
Macro Insights

SJC Gold Premium of 21 Million VND: 13 Years in the Making

For the same amount of gold, buying SJC bars in Vietnam costs over 20 million VND more than world prices. This gap is not accidental — it's the product of 13 years under a monopoly system.

Phương Nam·
Vietnam Exempts 3 Fuel Taxes: The VND 7,300B/Month Trade-Off
Macro Insights

Vietnam Exempts 3 Fuel Taxes: The VND 7,300B/Month Trade-Off

The National Assembly approved simultaneous exemptions for environmental, excise, and VAT taxes on fuel from April 16. This unprecedented fiscal measure sacrifices over VND 7,000 billion/month to control inflation.

Phương Nam·
$40B in Q1 Trading Revenue: Wall Street Profits from Volatility
Macro Insights

$40B in Q1 Trading Revenue: Wall Street Profits from Volatility

While the 5 largest Wall Street banks are expected to post record-high trading revenue, physical commodity traders suffered billions in losses from the very same volatility.

Thanh Hà·