Yen Nears a 40-Year Low as Asia Reprices Risk
Macro Insights

Yen Nears a 40-Year Low as Asia Reprices Risk

The yen is trading close to its weakest level in nearly four decades against the US dollar. For Vietnamese investors, that matters less as a Japan story and more as a live test of regional risk appetite, FX pressure, and how export stocks should be read at the open.

Thanh Hà·
Oil Cools, but BIS Keeps the Alarm On
Macro Insights

Oil Cools, but BIS Keeps the Alarm On

Brent has backed off its recent highs, but the BIS argues that the harder part of the risk story still sits in public debt, AI-related valuations, and bond-market liquidity. For Vietnamese investors, relief still needs confirmation from several other signals.

Thanh Hà·
Brent Returns to Old Range as Hormuz Fear Eases
Macro Insights

Brent Returns to Old Range as Hormuz Fear Eases

Brent settled at USD 71.99 a barrel on June 26 even as military headlines around Iran kept coming. What the market is pricing now is not zero risk, but a lower chance that Middle Eastern oil stays trapped for long.

Thanh Hà·
A 5% Deficit Target Still Does Not Pick the Winners
Macro Insights

A 5% Deficit Target Still Does Not Pick the Winners

Vietnam's new fiscal framework gives public investment a wider runway, but the market is not rewarding every infrastructure stock equally. The next test is whether disbursement accelerates and whether companies can turn project volume into earnings.

Phương Nam·
SBV carves out funding room for 18 mega-projects
Macro Insights

SBV carves out funding room for 18 mega-projects

Vietnam's central bank is allowing newly created loans for 18 priority projects to sit outside annual credit-growth calculations. That could accelerate disbursement for selected banks and developers, but it is not a blanket easing signal for the broader property market.

Phương Nam·
Brent Is Below $80, but Hormuz Still Matters
Macro Insights

Brent Is Below $80, but Hormuz Still Matters

Brent has slipped out of the mid-$80s, but that does not mean the energy shock is over. The next move will depend more on actual traffic through Hormuz and U.S. inventory data than on political headlines.

Thanh Hà·
MSCI Holds Its Score: Vietnam Still Needs Proof
Macro Insights

MSCI Holds Its Score: Vietnam Still Needs Proof

MSCI is acknowledging Vietnam's reform progress, but market accessibility scores have not moved. For the index provider, policy changes are only the starting point; what matters is whether foreign institutions can actually trade more smoothly.

Phương Nam·
Asia’s rally is running on three engines
Macro Insights

Asia’s rally is running on three engines

Japan and South Korea are both at fresh highs, but that does not add up to a uniform regional rally. Under the same Asia headline, each market is still being driven by a very different earnings story and a very different risk profile.

Thanh Hà·
Fed Held Rates, but the Bar for Cuts Rose
Macro Insights

Fed Held Rates, but the Bar for Cuts Rose

The surprise on June 17 was not the policy rate itself. It was the Fed's higher inflation outlook and a year-end rate path that pushed easier-money hopes further out.

Thanh Hà·
Japan at 1.0%: Cheap Money in Asia Reprices
Macro Insights

Japan at 1.0%: Cheap Money in Asia Reprices

Japan has raised its short-term policy rate to 1.0%, the highest level since 1995. The bigger story is not the 0.25 percentage-point move itself, but the fact that Asia's longest-running cheap-money anchor is starting to change roles.

Thanh Hà·
Oil Cools, Vietnam Tests Whether the Bounce Can Last
Macro Insights

Oil Cools, Vietnam Tests Whether the Bounce Can Last

Lower oil prices after the U.S.-Iran headline do not automatically translate into an easy session for Vietnamese equities. The real test is whether gold, USD/VND and sector rotation confirm that risk appetite is actually returning.

Thanh Hà·
As Hormuz Eases, Oil Returns to the Oversupply Debate
Macro Insights

As Hormuz Eases, Oil Returns to the Oversupply Debate

Oil is no longer reacting only to war headlines. As the odds of smoother flows through the Strait of Hormuz improve, the market is stripping out part of the war premium and returning to the harder questions of inventories, demand and supply.

Thanh Hà·
World Bank Cuts Growth, Three Signals Before the Open
Macro Insights

World Bank Cuts Growth, Three Signals Before the Open

Wall Street's rebound helps sentiment, but it is not enough to call the Vietnamese market safe by default. Before the opening bell, the order still matters: oil first, then FX, then cyclical stocks.

Mai Linh·
A $13.8 Billion Trade Deficit Does Not Tell the Whole Story
Macro Insights

A $13.8 Billion Trade Deficit Does Not Tell the Whole Story

A large trade deficit naturally raises concerns about the currency and the broader economy. But in Vietnam's case, the more important question is whether higher imports are feeding production or signalling a new pressure cycle.

Mai Linh·
Oil Has Not Broken Into a New Shock Yet
Macro Insights

Oil Has Not Broken Into a New Shock Yet

The U.S.-Iran conflict has escalated again, but oil is still trading inside a familiar test zone. For Vietnamese investors, the real signal is not the headline itself, but whether Brent rises far enough to trigger a broader repricing of energy costs.

Thanh Hà·
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